The weather pattern has been modifying some the last several weeks to not as wet overall. We will monitor this trend but all indications are near normal rainfall can be expected the next 4 weeks. At the same time, it appears the much cooler than normal weather the last six weeks will trend toward a "slightly" warmer than normal period for the next 4 weeks. It will be mainly the night-time lows which will cause the above normal conditions. Normal highs now are in the upper 70s to lower 80s with normal lows in upper 50s to lower 60s.
The latest NOAA/NWS/Ohio River Forecast Center 16-day rainfall outlook of an average of weather models can be view at:
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/ohrfc/HAS/images/NAEFS16day.pdf
The next update will take a look at autumn 2014 frost and freeze risk.