There has been one change from last week. All indications are the eastern corn and soybean belt will now experience below normal rainfall into mid October. However, the western corn and soybean belt will see normal or wetter than normal conditions.
Late September into the first half of October will experience above normal temperatures and below normal rainfall.
RISK into mid October:
The NOAA/NWS/Ohio River Forecast Center 16-day rainfall outlook suggests the wet areas will remain west of Ohio. This trend of drier conditions over Ohio will continue into the first half of October.
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/ohrfc/HAS/images/NAEFS16day.pdf
http://www.erh.noaa.gov/ohrfc/HAS/images/NAEFS16day.pdf
October is shaping up to be above normal temperatures and near to drier than normal conditions. Based on historic El Nino events, freeze conditions typically arrive a little later than normal so expect a week maybe two weeks of delay to freeze this fall.
October is shaping up to be above normal temperatures and near to drier than normal conditions. Based on historic El Nino events, freeze conditions typically arrive a little later than normal so expect a week maybe two weeks of delay to freeze this fall.
With a significant El Nino expected this fall and winter, everything suggests warmer conditions with below normal precipitation across western Ohio and normal precipitation in eastern Ohio.