Weather Update: Seasonal Rollercoaster

 

Accumulated Precipitation (in)Summary

After the warmest October on record (1895-present), a flurry of frosty of mornings have officially brought the 2021 growing season to a close. Many areas have experienced low temperatures in the low to mid 20s, with the coldest temperature of 19°F occurring near DeGraff in Logan County on November 5. Precipitation has varied widely across the state, with the heaviest occurring across Ottawa County and south-central Ohio (Figure 1). Wet conditions there have continue to hamper harvest and manure activities. Outside of these areas, precipitation has been a bit below average. We have also seen our first reports of snowfall across northeast Ohio. For more climate information, check out the State Climate Office of Ohio

Figure 1). Accumulated precipitation for October 26 – November 8, 2021. Figure courtesy of the Midwestern Regional Climate Center (https://mrcc.purdue.edu/).

 

 

Precipitation ForecastForecast

High pressure will remain anchored southeast of the region over the next couple of days. A weak cold front could bring a few widely scattered showers across the northwest counties Tuesday night. After another dry day on Wednesday, a much stronger cold front will approach the region on Thursday, bringing widespread rain showers and gusty winds. High temperatures will reach the 60s across Ohio for Tuesday through Thursday, 50s on Friday, then upper 30s to mid 40s over the upcoming weekend. There could be a few rain and/or snow showers across the north this weekend as well. The Weather Prediction Center is currently predicting 0.25-0.50” of precipitation over the next 7 days, with slightly greater amounts for the far northeast and southeast portions of the state (Figure 2).

 

The Climate Prediction Center’s 6–10-day outlook for the period of November 14-18, 2021 and the 16-Day Rainfall Outlook from NOAA/NWS/Ohio River Forecast Center indicate that  temperatures are likely to be below average with near to below average precipitation (Figure 3). Climate averages for this period include a high temperature range of 52-57°F, a low temperature range of 35-38°F, and average rainfall of 0.60-0.80 inches.

 

6-10-Day Outlook

Figure 3) Climate Prediction Center 6-10 Day Outlook valid for November 14-18, 2021, for left) temperatures and right) precipitation. Colors represent the probability of below, normal, or above normal conditions.

 

Crop Observation and Recommendation Network

C.O.R.N. Newsletter is a summary of crop observations, related information, and appropriate recommendations for Ohio crop producers and industry. C.O.R.N. Newsletter is produced by the Ohio State University Extension Agronomy Team, state specialists at The Ohio State University and the Ohio Agricultural Research and Development Center (OARDC). C.O.R.N. Newsletter questions are directed to Extension and OARDC state specialists and associates at Ohio State.

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