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C.O.R.N. Newsletter: 2025-30

  1. Rapid Drought Intensification

    Photo is from  BK12 - from Condition Monitoring Observer Reports (https://go.osu.edu/drought_cmor)
    Author(s): Aaron Wilson

    Climate Summary

    Climate rankings for August will be released by NOAA on Tuesday September 9, 2025, which will likely show that August 2025 was one of the driest August’s on record since 1895. Despite some precipitation falling across the Buckeye State over the last seven days (mostly less than 1 inch), much of Ohio is running well below normal for the last 30 days (Figure 1). Last week’s U.S. Drought Monitor shows an increase in D0-abnormally dry and D1-moderate drought conditions to 83% and 29%, respectively. Cooler than normal temperatures have kept the worst impacts in check; however, there are many reports of rapid crop transition, decreasing farm ponds, deteriorating pastures, and some water hauling. Please consider submitting your observations to the National Drought Mitigation Center’s Condition Monitoring Observer Reports platform. For the latest drought conditions and agricultural resources, please visit our Drought Conditions and Resources page or the State Climate Office of Ohio.

     Figure 1: Percent of normal precipitation over the last 30 days ending September 8, 2025. Figure courtesy of the Ohio River Forecast Center.

    Weather Forecast

    After a chilly start in the upper 30s to low 40s on Monday September 8, a slow warming trend is expected throughout the week. Highs will climb from the mid 70s early in the week to the low to mid 80s by the weekend. Overnight lows will start out in the 40s but settle around 60°F by Saturday morning. No rain is expected through Saturday, with only a slight chance of showers in the west on Sunday. A better change of some light rain moves into Ohio for Monday. The National Weather Service is currently forecasting less than 0.25 inches across the state (Figure 2).

    Figure 2: Total precipitation forecast for the period 8pm September 8 - 15. Figure courtesy of the National Weather Service Ohio River Forecast Center in Wilmington, Ohio.

    The 8-14 day outlook from the Climate Prediction Center for the period of September 16 – 22 and the 16-Day Rainfall Outlook from NOAA/NWS/Ohio River Forecast Center show warmer than normal temperatures and below normal precipitation are probable (Figure 3). Climatological normals for this period include a high-temperature range of 77-81°F, a low-temperature range of 55-59°F, and weekly total precipitation of 0.60 - 0.75 inches.

    Figure 3) Climate Prediction Center 8-14 Day Outlook valid for September 16 - 22, 2025, for left) temperatures and right) precipitation. Colors represent the probability of below, normal, or above normal conditions.

  2. Lep Monitoring Network – Fall armyworm and Imposters # 20

    Fall Army Worm

    Fall Armyworm Update

    Our 20th week of monitoring moth pests in Ohio ran from September 1st to September 7th. At this time, we are only monitoring for FAW moths. Over the past week we had 12 counties participate in monitoring with the statewide average decreasing from 14.0 moths per trap to 6.6 moths per trap.

    Just a reminder about “imposters” in the traps, an imposter is when another moth, in this case a Wainscot moth, is attracted to the trap and may skew the numbers. In some cases it may be difficult to differential between the target species and an imposter; but in the case of FAW and Wainscot moths, it is a bit easier. The image below is a comparison of the two moths (Figure 1). On the left is a Wainscot, which has an overall lighter wing color and less variation in color patterns. On the right is a FAW moth, which has a much darker forewing with more dark and light color variations.

    With that being said, over the past week our monitoring network reported the highest moth average of 29.7 in Hancock Co., followed by 27.0 moths in Mogan Co. Numbers continue to be widespread with the majority of counties reporting low numbers, including zeros (Figure 2).

    For more information on FAW biology and management, visit our factsheet at https://ohioline.osu.edu/factsheet/ent-0093

    Figure 1. (Left) Wainscot moth, (right) fall armyworm.

    Fall Armyworm Moth Map

    Week #6

    September 1st – September 7th  

     Figure 2. Fall Armyworm (FAW) moths captured from September 1st to September 7th. The bold number indicates the average moth count for the week, followed by the total number of traps in that county.

  3. Battle for the Belt: Season 3, Episode 24: Sudden Death Syndrome vs Red Crown Rot

    Battle for the Belt

    Season 3, Episode 23 of Battle for the Belt is now available: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vPUcULGy-h8

    At this stage of the growing season, soybean fields may commonly exhibit foliar yellowing. While such symptoms can be associated with the onset of physiological maturity, they may also indicate the presence of disease. Therefore, regular field scouting remains a critical practice for accurate diagnosis.

     Figure 1. Foliar symptoms of Sudden Death Syndrome in soybean. Source: Ohio State University Extension (2023).

     Figure 2. Foliar symptoms of Red Crown Rot in soybean, recently confirmed in Ohio. Source: Ohio State University Extension (2025).

    One of the most frequently observed diseases during this period is Sudden Death Syndrome (SDS), which produces characteristic foliar interveinal chlorosis and necrosis (Figure 1). Recently, Red Crown Rot (RCR) has been confirmed in Ohio (Figure 2). This is of particular concern because the foliar symptoms of RCR are nearly indistinguishable from those of SDS, complicating field-level identification. To correctly differentiate between these two pathogens, root and crown examinations are required. In cases of red crown rot, the basal stem and crown tissues typically exhibit a distinct reddish to orange discoloration, which serves as a diagnostic feature of the disease. Read and learn more about red crown rot here.

    Remember, when scouting your soybean field and if you identify red crown rot symptoms you should submit whole soybean plants with their root systems to the CFAES Soybean Pathology and Nematology Laboratory. Address samples to Horacio Lopez-Nicora, 110 Kottman Hall, 2021 Coffey Road, Columbus, OH 43210. Detailed instructions for sample submission are provided here.

    What’s happening in the field?

    Figure 3. State of Ohio Drought Status from the U.S. Drought Monitor from September 7, 2025. Drought conditions continue to be present and expand across the state, with very little rainfall occurring in recent weeks (Figure 3). As a result, several counties went from D0 (abnormally dry) to D1 level (moderate drought).

    Many of our corn and soybean plants across planting dates are now in critical grain-filling stages, which can be sensitive to drought stress. In corn, drought during these stages can lead to premature death of leaf tissue, shortened grain-fill periods, kernel abortion, and reduced kernel weight compared to crops under more favorable moisture conditions. When drought occurs during the later reproductive stages, specifically R4 (dough) and R5 (dent), it often results in lighter kernels and can cause premature physiological maturity.

    Soybeans are generally more resilient than corn under drought conditions, but prolonged dryness during pod set and seed fill still presents risks. When moisture is limited during these stages, the plant’s ability to compensate is reduced. This typically results in fewer seeds per pod, smaller seed size, and earlier maturity. Similar to corn, drought shortens the grain-filling period, and the greatest yield losses in soybeans are usually seen when drought occurs between the R4 (full pod) and R6 (full seed) stages.

     Figure 4. Western, R6 corn at physiological maturity with black layer present. Photo Credit: Maria Kessler. Field observations show that crops are continuing to progress steadily toward maturity. At the Western location, corn from planting date one has dried down quite a bit and is the first to reach the R6 stage, which marks physiological maturity (Figure 4). Corn at the Northwest and Wooster sites is not far behind, as it continues to dry down. In soybean, planting dates one through four have reached the R6 stage, full seed. These plants will enter R7 (begin maturity), once at least one pod on the main stem has turned brown or tan. For further information regarding weather summaries and crop growth stages, see Table 1.

    Table 1. Precipitation, soil temperature, average air temperature, and cumulative GDDs at the Western Agricultural Research Station, the Northwest Agricultural Research Station, and Wooster Campus. Weather data retrieved from: https://weather.cfaes.osu.edu/. 

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Keep following the ‘Battle for the Belt’ this growing season to learn more and get further updates! You can find the full video playlist of Battle for the Belt on the Ohio State Agronomy YouTube channel.

  4. 2025 Corn Yield Forecast for Ohio as of August 26

    Maturing Corn
    Author(s): Osler Ortez

    By the end of August 2025, the USDA Crop Progress & Condition report indicated that about 90% of Ohio's corn acreage had reached the dough stage (R4), about 50% was dented (R5), and <10% was mature (R6). All three indicators rank ahead or slightly ahead of 2024 and behind or slightly behind the 5-year average for this time of the year. For most of the 2025 season, about 50% of Ohio’s corn has been ranked as good and about 10% as excellent (for the remaining, about 30% ranked as fair and 10% as either poor or very poor).

    A new simulation of the 2025 end-of-season corn yield potential and crop staging was completed on August 26. This work uses the UNL Hybrid-Maize crop model in collaboration with researchers, agronomists, and extension educators across the Corn Belt. The approach uses local crop data, soil types, and real-time weather as input variables. These forecasts can assist researchers, educators, growers, and stakeholders in making management, logistics, and marketing decisions in the crop season.

    The forecast covers 43 locations across the Corn Belt region, including Custar (Northwest), South Charleston (Western), and Wooster (Northeast), Ohio. Table 1 and Figure 1 summarize the projections available as of Aug 26, 2025.

    Table 1. Simulations of 2025 end-of-season corn yield potential (Yp) and crop stage on August 26, Ohio.

    Location

    Long-term yield potential average (bu/ac)

    Yp forecasts as of Aug. 26 (bu/ac) 25th percentile

    Yp forecasts as of Aug. 26 (bu/ac) 75th percentile

    Probability (%) of 2025 yield to be: Below long-term potential

    Probability (%) of 2025 yield to be: Near

    long-term potential

    Probability (%) of 2025 yield to be: Above

    long-term potential

    Simulated Crop Stage by Aug. 26

    Custar
    34,000 plants/Ac

    108-day hybrid

    May 22 planting

    231

    191

    201

    90

    10

    0

    R5, Dent

    South Charleston
    34,000 plants/Ac

    112-day hybrid

    May 17 planting

    235

    236

    244

    0

    97

    3

    R5, Dent

    Wooster
    33,000 plants/Ac

    106-day hybrid

    May 27 planting

    236

    236

    263

    3

    65

    32

    R4, Dough

    Based on the current forecast, projections show (Figure 1):

    • A 90% probability (+/-) of below average yields for Custar, OH.
    • A 97% probability (+/-) of near average yields for South Charleston, OH.
    • A 32% probability (+/-) of above average yields for Wooster, OH.

     Figure 1. Simulated stages for rainfed corn (left figure). Probability of the 2025 yield potential to be below, near, and above the long-term (2005-2024) average yield potential at each location (right figure) - larger color sections within each pie chart indicate higher probability that end-of-season corn yield will be in that category. R4: dough; R5: dent; R6: physiological maturity.

    Summary
    The projected results for Ohio show some optimism for Wooster in the Northeast, neutral for South Charleston in the Western region, and lower yields for Custar in the Northwest region. These projections align with the recently dry conditions affecting many areas in the state, especially the Northwest region. Recent precipitation in the Northwest region should help alleviate these conditions (at least some).

    By September 4, 84% of the state of Ohio was abnormally dry or worse. Corn begins to scale down its water use after silking (see Crop Water Use in Corn). With most of Ohio’s acreage at dent stages now, we can expect a smaller effect of drought on grain yields relative to if drought had come in earlier in the season (like silking/pollination time). Given the faster crop progress and dry conditions this season, we can expect the corn harvest to approach sooner this year.

    Adequate solar radiation, temperatures, and precipitation during the remaining grain fill period will determine final yield outputs this year. These forecasts do not consider other yield-limiting factors such as stand issues, storm damage, replanting, disease, or nutrient losses. Likewise, results would deviate with varying planting dates and/or hybrid maturities. Yield forecasts are not field-specific and represent an average yield estimate for a given location and its surrounding region. More forecasts will be made available as they come; this article summarizes the approach used for this work.

    References

    Grassini, P., Andrade, J., Aramburu, F., Yang, H., Brhel, J., Coulter, J., Licht, M., Archontoulis, S., Singh, M., Ortez, O., Quinn, D., & Carcedo, A. (2025a). 2025 Corn Yield Forecasts as of Aug. 26. UNL Nebraska CropWatch. Available from: https://cropwatch.unl.edu/2025-corn-yield-forecasts-aug-26/  

    Grassini, P., Andrade, J., Aramburu, F., Yang, H., Brhel, J., Coulter, J., Licht, M., Archontoulis, S., Singh, M., Ortez, O., Quinn, D., & Carcedo, A. (2025b). 2025 Corn Yield Forecasts: Approach and Interpretation of Results. UNL Nebraska CropWatch. Available from: https://cropwatch.unl.edu/2025-corn-yield-forecasts-approach-and-interpretation-results/  

  5. Timing of Last Alfalfa Cutting is Particularly Important in Dry Years

    Growing Alfalfa

    Timing of your last cutting is one of the most important factors for maintaining alfalfa persistence over winter. The Ohio Agronomy Guide recommends that cutting finishes by Sept 7 for northern Ohio and Sept 15 for southern Ohio—these recommendations are based on the amount of time it typically takes for alfalfa to regrow to ~8 inches before a ‘killing’ frost occurs, stopping growth for the year.

    What’s the value of fall regrowth?

    Fall regrowth ensures the plant has sufficient sugars and carbohydrates in the root system, which is critical for winter survival. The biomass of plants above ground also helps protect the crown against harsh winter weather by helping to hold onto snow, which can help insulate plants from the drying effect of cold winds. Plant material also helps cover the soil surface, which can reduce the intensity of rapid freeze-thaw cycles that contribute to frost heave.  Taking a fall harvest will provide feed this year, but often at the expense of next year's spring yield.

    Why is timing fall harvest particularly important this year?

    Even though the taproot of alfalfa can continue growth during short-term dry weather, its growth is reduced by longer-term dry conditions. The drought monitor for our region indicates that much of the state is currently classified as D0, and forecasts indicate that the dry weather will persist for at least another week. This will reduce the recovery growth of alfalfa going into winter, increasing the risk that late-cut alfalfa may not regrow sufficiently before hard frosts.

    If you need more feed for the winter, when should you harvest? 

    The best harvest option for more feed is after the fall rest period, when the alfalfa has undergone winterization. Winterization correlates to cutting after a killing freeze (23-24°F for several hours), after which the plant is dormant. This is not as stressful to the plants as cutting during winterization and can be a viable option for those who need feed and do not want to risk next year’s stand. However, remember that you should leave 5-6” of stubble, which leaves some plant tissue and helps to reduce erosion and provide some insulation during freezing and thawing cycles. The freeze-thaw risk is most significant on poorly drained soil. As dry conditions persist, your best options if feed is needed will be to harvest corn as corn silage or consider alternative feeds such as corn grain and corn stalks. 

    How does soil fertility impact alfalfa fall management?

    Potassium (K) is critical to alfalfa growth and enhances cold tolerance during winter . Physiologically, K is needed for plants to regulate water; if K levels are too low, plants will be at greater risk of winterkill and especially desiccation-related winterkill. In fields with low soil test K (STK below 120-170 ppm for agronomic crops in Ohio, when analyzed via Mehlich-3 extraction), applying potash a few weeks before growth stops for winter allows fertilizer to enter the soil profile and begin being taken up by plants.

    Even in fields with high levels of soil test K (STK), potassium uptake may have been reduced this summer and fall due to low water availability. While low water availability impacts uptake of all nutrients, K uptake is particularly sensitive to dry conditions due to interactions between K and clay particles. Currently, we do not have evidence for management options that consistently improve K uptake during fall drought.   

    Further Reading:

    Ohio Agronomy Guide, 16th Edition. https://extensionpubs.osu.edu/ohio-agronomy-guide-16th-edition/

    Tri-State Fertilizer Recommendations for Corn, Soybean, Wheat, and Alfalfa. https://extensionpubs.osu.edu/tri-state-fertilizer-recommendations-for-corn-soybean-wheat-and-alfalfa-pdf/?searchid=0&search_query=974

  6. Nitrogen rate to optimize corn yield: Insights from 1976-2021 dataset

    Growing Corn

    Corn yield has increased by about threefold across the US from 1950s to 2000s. Therefore, a practical question for farmers is, “How does the observed yield increase impact corn nitrogen rates?” To answer this question, a recent factsheet summarized the trends of corn yield, optimal nitrogen rate to maximize yield, and nitrogen use efficiency of corn based on Fulford et al (2025) study (Rakkar and LaBarge, 2025). The study included data from 431 N trials conducted over 45 years across 31 counties in Ohio.

    Nitrogen Rate Trials

    Below are some key takeaways:

    Did corn grain yield increase from 1976 to 2021 in Ohio?

    Yes, corn grain yield increased from 1976 to 2021 in Ohio. The yield increased by 1.2 bu/ac/yr with N fertilizer and by 0.5 bu/ac/yr without N fertilizer (Fig. 1).

    Fig.1 Trendline of corn grain yields over 45 years with (yellow dots) and without (blue dots) nitrogen fertilizer (adapted from Fulford et al. 2025).

    Did the nitrogen rate needed to maximize corn yield (AONR) increase in the past 45 years?

    No, AONR did not change significantly.

    Did corn yield at optimal nitrogen rate (YAONR) increase from 1976 to 2021?

    Yes, YAONR increased by 52%.

    What do trends of corn yield, AONR, and YAONR reflect?

    The trends reflect that corn is better at utilizing N per unit of input, potentially due to the improved nitrogen-use efficiency of new hybrids. Grain produced per unit of N input has increased by 1.2 times from 1976 to 2021.

    What is the implication of these research findings to current N recommendations in Ohio?

    The Ohio State University utilizes Maximum Return to Nitrogen (MRTN) for corn N recommendations. The MRTN approach considers corn’s response to N amendments, fertilizer cost, and the market price of corn to determine the N rate. The MRTN tool uses up-to-date data to account for improved nitrogen use efficiency of corn.  

    References:

    Fulford, A. M., LaBarge, G., Lindsey, A., Watters, H., Ortez, O., & Culman, S. W. (2025). Historical trends in the nitrogen requirement of corn over 45 years in Ohio. Agronomy Journal, 117(2), e70049. doi.org/10.1002/agj2.70049

    Rakkar, M. & LaBarge, G. (2025). Trends of Corn Yield, Optimal Nitrogen Rate, and Nitrogen Use Efficiency: 1976–2021. Ohioline. ANR-0200. https://ohioline.osu.edu/factsheet/anr-0200

     

  7. Green Fields Green Dollars Returns for Season 2!

    Cover Crop

    Green Fields/Green Dollars

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    The Green Fields/Green Dollars video series — your go-to resource for exploring the agronomic and economic impacts of agricultural conservation practices — is back with Season 2!

    Join cohosts Rachel Cochran, CCA/CPAg, Water Quality Extension Associate, and Clint Schroeder, Program Manager for the Farm Business Analysis Program, for Season 2, Episode 1, released today, September 8th. This episode revisits last year’s cover crop discussions, now updated with fresh, Ohio-specific data compiled by Clint through the OSU Farm Business Analysis Program.

    Originally launched in 2024, Green Fields Green Dollars was designed to highlight both the agronomic benefits and economic implications of various in-field practices. Season 1 featured:

    • Two episodes on cover crops
    • Two episodes on nitrogen
    • One episode on tillage

    If you missed any of those, don’t worry — the full series is available on the OSU Agronomy YouTube channel, and you can find the playlist at go.osu.edu/GFGD.

    Looking ahead, mark your calendar for September 26th, when Season 2, Episode 2 drops! This upcoming episode dives into the economics of drainage with guest expert Bruce Clevenger, CCA, Field Specialist for Farm Management.

    👉 Watch Season 2, Episode 1 now by clicking here!

     

Crop Observation and Recommendation Network

C.O.R.N. Newsletter is a summary of crop observations, related information, and appropriate recommendations for Ohio crop producers and industry. C.O.R.N. Newsletter is produced by the Ohio State University Extension Agronomy Team, state specialists at The Ohio State University and the Ohio Agricultural Research and Development Center (OARDC). C.O.R.N. Newsletter questions are directed to Extension and OARDC state specialists and associates at Ohio State.

Contributors

Aaron Wilson (Field Specialist, Ag Weather & Climate State Climatologist of Ohio)
Alan Leininger (Educator, Agriculture and Natural Resources)
Amanda Barnum (Extension Educator, Agriculture and Natural Resources)
Amanda Bennett (Educator, Agriculture and Natural Resources)
Amanda Douridas, CCA (Educator, Agriculture and Natural Resources)
Amanda Perkins (Educator, Agriculture and Natural Resources)
Amber Emmons, CCA (Water Quality Extension Associate)
Ambria Small (Extension Educator, ANR)
Ben Torrance (State Statistician)
Beth Scheckelhoff (Educator, Agriculture and Natural Resources)
Clifton Martin, CCA (Educator, Agriculture and Natural Resources)
Clint Schroeder (Program Manager)
Curtis Young, CCA (Educator, Agriculture and Natural Resources)
Dean Kreager (Educator, Agriculture and Natural Resources)
Emma Matcham (State Specialist, Integrated Forage Systems)
Garth McDorman (Educator, Agriculture and Natural Resources)
Gigi Neal (Educator, Agriculture and Natural Resources)
Glen Arnold, CCA (Field Specialist, Manure Nutrient Management )
Heather Torlina (Water Quality Extension Associate)
Horacio Lopez-Nicora (State Specialist, Soybean Pathology)
Jason Hartschuh, CCA (Field Specialist, Dairy & Precision Livestock)
Jocelyn Ruble (Water Quality Extension Associate)
Jordan Penrose (Educator, Agriculture and Natural Resources)
Justin Baum (Educator, Agriculture and Natural Resources)
Kendall Lovejoy, CCA (Educator, Agriculture and Natural Resources)
Kendra Rose (Extension Educator, Agriculture and Natural Resources)
Kyle Verhoff (Educator, Agriculture and Natural Resources)
Laura Lindsey (State Specialist, Soybean and Small Grains)
Lee Beers, CCA (Educator, Agriculture and Natural Resources)
Les Ober, CCA (Educator, Agriculture and Natural Resources)
Manbir Rakkar (Soil Fertility, State Extension Specialist)
Mike Estadt (Educator, Agriculture and Natural Resources)
Mike Gastier, CCA (Educator, Agriculture and Natural Resources)
Nic Baumer (Educator, Agriculture and Natural Resources)
Nick Eckel (Educator, Agriculture and Natural Resources)
Osler Ortez (State Specialist, Corn & Emerging Crops)
Ryan McMichael (Educator, Agriculture and Natural Resources)
Rylee Kay Puthoff (Educator, Agriculture and Natural Resources)
Sarah Noggle (Educator, Agriculture and Natural Resources)
Savannah Ballweg (Educator, Agriculture and Natural Resources)
Seth Kannberg (Educator, Agriculture and Natural Resources)
Stephanie Karhoff, CCA (Field Specialist, Agronomic Systems)
T.J. Wells (Educator, Agriculture and Natural Resources)
Ted Wiseman (Educator, Agriculture and Natural Resources)
Trevor Corboy (Educator, Agriculture and Natural Resources)
Wayne Dellinger, CCA (Educator, Agriculture and Natural Resources)

Disclaimer

The information presented here, along with any trade names used, is supplied with the understanding that no discrimination is intended and no endorsement is made by Ohio State University Extension is implied. Although every attempt is made to produce information that is complete, timely, and accurate, the pesticide user bears responsibility of consulting the pesticide label and adhering to those directions.

CFAES provides research and related educational programs to clientele on a nondiscriminatory basis. For an accessible format of this publication, visit cfaes.osu.edu/accessibility.