C.O.R.N. Newsletter

  1. Author(s): Jim Noel

    The winter has seen wild swings in the weather and climate from cold to warm to cold.

    The outlook for February calls for this wild swing pattern to continue with periods of cold and mild along with periods of wet, snow and dry. The end result should be temperatures slightly colder than normal for February and precipitation at or above normal. Over the next two weeks precipitation liquid equivalent should average 1.5-2.5 inches over Ohio. Normal is about 1 inch in this period. See attached graphic for details.

    Issue: 2018-03
  2. Weather Map 11-20-17
    Author(s): Jim Noel

    The wet pattern arrived this fall and continues. It has resulted in flooding and harvest delays.

    Issue: 2017-39
  3. Author(s): Jim Noel

    Temperatures into November: The warmer than normal weather pattern will continue. However, it appears we will get a burst of colder weather next week. Confidence in the temperature forecast is high.

    Precipitation: We will be slowly transitioning from the drier first half of fall to a wetter pattern over the next 1-2 months that will persist into next spring. Lake effect precipitation will be increasing starting next week in northern and northeastern Ohio. Confidence in the rainfall forecast is moderate.

    Issue: 2017-35
  4. Author(s): Jim Noel

    September ended warmer and drier across Ohio for the most part. But it was the tail of two months. The first half of September was 5-10 degrees below normal and the second half of the month was 10-15 degrees above normal.

    Issue: 2017-33
  5. Author(s): Jim Noel

    After a first half of September which was 5-10 degrees below average, the second half of September will average 5-10 degrees above average making September in the end a near average month but marked by significant differences in the month. Temperatures the week of September 19-25 will run 10-15 degrees above average with no risk of frost.

    Issue: 2017-31
  6. Author(s): Jim Noel

    The tropics are a big player in the weather this time of the year. The outflow from tropical systems creates high and low pressures further north in our region this time of the year and modifies weather patterns. Saying all that, this is an active year for the United States which we have not seen for about a decade. This all translates to uncertainty in our September weather and climate pattern for Ohio and surrounding areas.

    All eyes are on Hurricane Irma and the direct or indirect impacts to the United States and surrounding areas.

    Issue: 2017-29
  7. Rainbow
    Author(s): Jim Noel

    During August the weather and climate pattern switched where areas of the western half of the corn and soybean belt that needed rain got it while the eastern half dried out. Rainfall the last 30-days has been 2-6 inches with isolated totals to 10 inches in the western half of the region to 0.50 to 2.00 inch eastern areas including Ohio.

    Issue: 2017-28
  8. 16 Day Ensemble Mean Total QPF
    Author(s): Jim Noel

    The headline the next 10 days for the middle third of August will be below normal temperatures, about 2-4 degree below normal. Rainfall is now in a more normal mode through much of August with more variability to the pattern. If anything like we talked about in July, the tendency will be on the slightly drier side of normal but nothing real extreme the next few weeks. In fact some of the lower rain totals the next 16 days will be in our region of the corn and soybean belt.

    Issue: 2017-25
  9. Author(s): Aaron Wilson , Author(s): Jim Noel

    To say that many parts of the state have experienced a wet stretch of weather would be an understatement. Heavy rainfall has left a wide variety of negative crop conditions, from yellowing in soybean fields where ponding has been persistent to highly variable heights on corn stands, delayed wheat harvest and hay cutting. With all of this rain, streams and rivers have been running much above normal as well. But how historic is our recent rainfall?

    Issue: 2017-24
  10. Author(s): Jim Noel

      The wet period continued into July. Rainfall in Ohio the last 30-days has ranged from about 4-13 inches. This is 100-350% of normal. This will go down as one of the wetter periods on record in Ohio.

    You can see the latest rainfall totals at the Ohio River Forecast Center Briefing Page at:


    Issue: 2017-23